​Obama Approval Rating Spells Trouble for Democrats

Staff Reporter
Aug. 8, 2014

The Obama approval rating drops to only 41 percent, becoming the lowest drop for the current White House administration. The rating is from a new Washington Post poll, which was conducted from April 24 to April 27.

The latest number is down from 46 percent from a poll that was done after the first three months of 2014. It also demonstrates a possible decline for Democrats in the November elections, as they try to control the Senate.

The rating is broken down into separate categories, starting with 42 percent on President Barack Obama’s handing of the economy, 37 percent of how he is handling the implementation of the Affordable Care Act and 34 percent of his handling the Ukraine-Russia crises.

“Obama’s low rating could be a significant drag on Democratic candidates this fall — past elections suggest that when approval ratings are as low as Obama’s, the president’s party is almost certain to suffer at the ballot box in November,” according to the paper.

Moreover, the approval rating polls generally equal a poor performance in midterm elections for the president’s party.

However, the numbers do not show that the numbers represent a major dip. They do not reflect that his overall numbers have hit a new low, as some headlines suggest. It’s much more likely that the drop here represents a random variation around a generally low approval figure.

Also, it’s just one poll of 1,000 people. You get a more accurate picture by averaging together a bunch of polls, such as the graphs that RealClearPolitics offer.

According to RCP, the President did have a big drop in his approval rating late last year, hitting a low of 39.8 percent at the beginning of December. That was about the time the rocky rollout of the Affordable Care Act was getting a lot of coverage.

The numbers do spell trouble for Democrats, and most of the polls do point to a bad economy and health care. There’s plenty of time for the polls to shift before November, but it’s definitely not a good sign.

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